GERRY  Cyclone tropical intense, saison 2002/2003

Le système GERRY a été baptisé le 10.02.2003 à 06 UTC, il a atteint le stade de Cyclone tropical intense.
Le vent soutenu en mer a atteint 195 km/h avec des rafales atteignant 241 km/h.
Trois îles ont été touchées par ce système.


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Gerry - Le 13 février 2003 à 04 UTC - Gerry toujours en cours d'intensification passe au plus près des côtes Nord-Nord-Est de l'île Maurice. Dans le mur de l'oeil, les vents en mer sont estimés à 176 km/h (sur 1 min) avec des rafales à 218 km/h. Source : Image provenant de Jean-Paul HOARAU - jpghoarau@runnet.com

Les différents stades atteints par GERRY

Passez le pointeur de la souris sur le tableau pour afficher des détails le cas échéant.
: L'intensité augmente : L'intensité diminue

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Stades atteints
Date de l'évolution
Perturbation tropicale
07.02.2003 à 18 UTC
L'intensité augmente
Dépression tropicale
09.02.2003 à 00 UTC
L'intensité augmente
Tempête tropicale modérée
10.02.2003 à 06 UTC
L'intensité augmente
Forte tempête tropicale
11.02.2003 à 12 UTC
L'intensité augmente
Cyclone tropical
12.02.2003 à 12 UTC
L'intensité augmente
Cyclone tropical intense
13.02.2003 à 06 UTC
L'intensité augmente
Cyclone tropical
14.02.2003 à 00 UTC
L'intensité diminue
Forte tempête tropicale
14.02.2003 à 12 UTC
L'intensité diminue
Tempête tropicale modérée
15.02.2003 à 00 UTC
L'intensité diminue
Dépression tropicale
16.02.2003 à 00 UTC
L'intensité diminue
Dépression extra-tropicale
16.02.2003 à 12 UTC
L'intensité diminue

Valeurs maximales

Valeurs maximales atteintes par GERRY, le 13 février 2003 à 06 UTC  
Intensité sur l'échelle de Dvorak (nombre Ci) 5,5/8,0
Intensité sur la classification Australienne 4/5
Pression estimée au centre 938 mb
Vent moyen sur 10 mn (donnée Météo-France) 167 Km/h, 90 Kt
Vent moyen sur 1 mn (donnée Météo-France) 185 Km/h, 100 Kt
Vent moyen sur 1 mn (donnée JTWC) 195 Km/h, 105 Kt
Rafales 241 Km/h, 130 Kt
Vent moyen sur 1 mn (intensité atteinte la plus probable) 195 Km/h, 105 Kt

 

Tableau des impacts sur les îles


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Îles
Distance et intensité correspondante
Date
Alerte
Détails
Tromelin 50 km au Sud-Ouest, au stade de forte tempête tropicale (stable) 12.02.2003 à 01 UTC Aucune
Maurice 100 km au Nord-Nord-Est, au stade de cyclone tropical intense (s'intensifiant) 13.02.2003 à 04 UTC Classe 3
Réunion 290 km au Nord-Est, au stade de cyclone tropical (s'intensifiant) 13.02.2003 à 00 UTC Alerte Orange (pendant 27h) Pas de détail

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Effet Fujiwara de Gerry et Hape

L'effet Fujiwara ou Fujiwhara est l'interaction entre deux systèmes cycloniques voisins qui crée l'impression d'un système binaire en rotation.

Pour en savoir plus, voici le lien de Wikipédia :
http://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effet_Fujiwara

Conclusion

Le mois de février a été marqué par l'évolution de quatre tempêtes tropicales dans la partie sud-ouest de l'océan Indien, à savoir Gerry, Hape, Isha et Japhet. Une autre tempête tropicale, dénommée Fiona, est restée dans la zone de responsabilité de l'Australie. Ces tempêtes sont restées au large, à l'exception de Gerry, qui a touché l'île de Tromelin et les îles Mascareignes (la Réunion et Maurice), et de Japhet, qui a causé d'importants dommages au Mozambique.

Gerry, qui s'est formé le 8 février à l'est de l'île Farquhar, s'est ensuite déplacé vers le sud-est et a touché l'île de Tromelin. Il a continué d'augmenter d'intensité en se déplaçant vers le sud et a atteint une intensité maximale correspondant au stade du cyclone tropical intense le 13, alors qu'il passait à proximité de la Réunion et de Maurice. Gerry s'est dissipé dans les eaux extratropicales au sud-est des Mascareignes le 17.


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