Consultation de l'archive 01S_2002


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Informations générales

01S_2002  Tempête tropicale modérée, saison 2002/2003

Le système 01S_2002 a été baptisé le 07.09.2002 (non baptisé), il a atteint le stade de Tempête tropicale modérée.
Le vent soutenu en mer a atteint 74 km/h avec des rafales atteignant 92 km/h.
Une île a été touchée par ce système.



Identité du Système

Date de la cyclogénèse
05.09.2002 à 12 UTC
Zone de la cyclogénèse
Centre du bassin (60°/70°E)
Date du baptême
07.09.2002 (non baptisé)
Date de la dissipation
09.09.2002 à 00 UTC
Type de trajectoire
Zonal
Durée de vie
4 Jours
Durée de vie au stade tempête
18 Heures
Distance parcourue
1098 km
Vitesse moyenne de déplacement
13.1 km/h, 7 Kt
ZONE DE LA CYCLOLYSE
TROPICALE


Les différents stades atteints par 01S_2002


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Stades atteints Date de l'évolution Mention  
Zone perturbée
05.09.2002 à 12 UTC
3.5°S & 62.9°E L'intensité augmente
Perturbation tropicale
06.09.2002 à 06 UTC
3.6°S & 59.9°E L'intensité augmente
Dépression tropicale
06.09.2002 à 18 UTC
4.0°S & 58.1°E L'intensité augmente
Tempête tropicale modérée
07.09.2002 à 00 UTC
4.2°S & 57.2°E L'intensité augmente
Dépression tropicale
07.09.2002 à 18 UTC
4.2°S & 54.9°E L'intensité diminue
Perturbation tropicale
08.09.2002 à 06 UTC
4.2°S & 53.9°E L'intensité diminue
Dépression se comblant
08.09.2002 à 18 UTC
4.2°S & 53.3°E L'intensité diminue


Valeurs maximales

Valeurs maximales atteintes par 01S_2002, le 07 septembre 2002 à 06 UTC  
Intensité sur l'échelle de Dvorak (nombre Ci) 2,5+/8,0
Intensité sur la classification Australienne 1/5
Pression estimée au centre 994 mb
Vent moyen sur 10 mn (donnée Météo-France) 65 Km/h, 35 Kt
Vent moyen sur 1 mn (donnée Météo-France) 74 Km/h, 40 Kt
Vent moyen sur 1 mn (donnée JTWC) 65 Km/h, 35 Kt
Rafales 92 Km/h, 50 Kt
Vent moyen sur 1 mn (intensité atteinte la plus probable) 74 Km/h, 40 Kt


Tableau de l'impact du système sur une île


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Île
Distance et intensité correspondante
Date
Alerte
Seychelles (Praslin) 10 km au Nord, au stade de tempete tropicale modérée (stable) 07.09.2002 à 10 UTC non renseigné
 

Conclusion

Ce système atypique fut repéré par 3°5 S et 62°9 E le 05 septembre 2002.

Son pic d'intensité analysé d'abord au stade de dépression tropicale fut atteint dans son approche de Praslin au Nord de 05°S. (Cf trajectoire)

Le JTWC et le CMRS / MFR étaient en accord en temps réel.

Mais le CMRS/MFR a justement réhaussé l'intensité estimée au stade de tempête tropicale modérée après analyse des données revenues de Praslin.

Il s'agit donc d'un système nom baptisé en temps réel mais comptabilisé comme tempête tropicale modérée dans les archives de MFR.

Ce système ravagea la fameuse Vallée de Mai (dans l'île de Praslin aux Seychelles, est une réserve inscrite au patrimoine mondial de l'humanité par l'UNESCO en 1983 en raison de sa faune et de sa flore exceptionnelles) où les rafales ont dépassé 110 km/h.

Commentaire Patrick HOAREAU



Images du système


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Trajectoire de la première tempête de la saison non baptisé officiellement. La trajectoire est de type zonale.
Source : Données JTWC, trajectoire Firinga le site.

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