Consultation de l'archive KESINY


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Informations générales

KESINY  Cyclone tropical, saison 2001/2002

Le système KESINY a été baptisé le 04.05.2002 à 06 UTC, il a atteint le stade de Cyclone tropical.
Le vent soutenu en mer a atteint 148 km/h avec des rafales atteignant 184 km/h.
Quatre îles ont été touchées par ce système.



Identité du Système

Date de la cyclogénèse
02.05.2002 à 06 UTC
Zone de la cyclogénèse
Centre du bassin (60°/70°E)
Date du baptême
04.05.2002 à 06 UTC
Date de la dissipation
11.05.2002 à 18 UTC
Type de trajectoire
Zonal
Durée de vie
9 Jours
Durée de vie au stade de Dvorak supérieur à 2,5/8,0
8 Jours
Durée de vie au stade tempête
138 Heures
Durée de vie au stade Cyclonique
6 Heures
Distance parcourue
3143 km
Vitesse moyenne de déplacement
13.8 km/h, 7 Kt
ZONE DE LA CYCLOLYSE
TERRESTRE


Les différents stades atteints par KESINY


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Stades atteints Date de l'évolution Mention  
Perturbation tropicale
02.05.2002 à 06 UTC
7.3°S & 62.0°E L'intensité augmente
Dépression tropicale
03.05.2002 à 06 UTC
8.9°S & 66.0°E L'intensité augmente
Tempête tropicale modérée
04.05.2002 à 06 UTC
9.7°S & 66.1°E L'intensité augmente
Forte tempête tropicale
05.05.2002 à 12 UTC
10.1°S & 63.3°E L'intensité augmente
Tempête tropicale modérée
07.05.2002 à 18 UTC
11.4°S & 57.7°E L'intensité diminue
Forte tempête tropicale
08.05.2002 à 18 UTC
11.7°S & 53.3°E L'intensité augmente
Cyclone tropical
09.05.2002 à 12 UTC
12.7°S & 50.0°E L'intensité augmente
Dépression sur terre
09.05.2002 à 18 UTC
13.1°S & 49.0°E L'intensité diminue
Tempête tropicale modérée
10.05.2002 à 00 UTC
le système se trouve dans le canal du Mozambique. 13.6°S & 47.6°E L'intensité augmente
Dépression tropicale
10.05.2002 à 12 UTC
13.7°S & 47.7°E L'intensité diminue
Perturbation tropicale
11.05.2002 à 06 UTC
15.2°S & 46.7°E L'intensité diminue


Valeurs maximales

Valeurs maximales atteintes par KESINY, le 09 mai 2002 à 12 UTC  
Intensité sur l'échelle de Dvorak (nombre Ci) 4,5/8,0
Intensité sur la classification Australienne 3/5
Pression estimée au centre 964 mb
Vent moyen sur 10 mn (donnée Météo-France) 130 Km/h, 70 Kt
Vent moyen sur 1 mn (donnée Météo-France) 148 Km/h, 80 Kt
Vent moyen sur 1 mn (donnée JTWC) 120 Km/h, 65 Kt
Rafales 184 Km/h, 99 Kt
Vent moyen sur 1 mn (intensité atteinte la plus probable) 148 Km/h, 80 Kt


Tableau des impacts sur les îles


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Îles
Distance et intensité correspondante
Date
Alerte
Agalega 105 km au Sud, au stade de tempête tropicale modérée (s'affaiblissant) 08.05.2002 à 01 UTC Aucune
Madagascar Sur l'île au Nord, au stade de cyclone tropical (s'intensifiant) 09.05.2002 à 13 UTC Avis de danger imminent
Les Glorieuses 250 km au Sud-Est, au stade de forte tempête tropicale (s'affaiblissant) 09.05.2002 à 18 UTC Aucune
Les Comores et Mayotte 235 km à l'Est-Sud-Est, au stade de tempête tropicale modérée (s'affaiblissant) 10.05.2002 à 06 UTC non renseigné
 

Conclusion

At least nine people were killed by Kesiny, mainly due flooding. Numerous bridges were destroyed, isolating several areas for over a week.

Source : Absolute Astronomy


Images du système


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Trajectoire de Kesiny
Source : Trajectoire provenant du site de Australia Severe Weather.
Kesiny - Le 06 mai 2002 à 06:45 UTC - Au stade de forte tempête tropicale
Source : Image provenant de NOAA / MODIS (NASA)
Kesiny - Le 08 mai 2002 à 18 UTC - Après un affaiblissement, Kesiny ré-atteint le stade de forte tempête tropicale
Source : Image provenant du site MTOTEC
Kesiny - Le 09 mai 2002 à 05 UTC - Un point chaud est clairement visible sur cette image satellite
Source : Image provenant du site MTOTEC
Kesiny - Le 09 mai 2002 à 11:30 UTC - Au stade de cyclone tropical dit midget (nain). Kesiny se dirige vers la pointe Nord de Madagascar
Source : Image IR colorisée provenant du site CIMSS
Kesiny - Le 09 mai 2002 à 18:30 UTC - Les vents sont estimés à 60 knots (110 km/h), avec des rafales à 75 knots (140 km/h). Observation Device: Meteosat7 4-km, infrared imagery
Source : Image provenant du site NOAA Satellite

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